NHL Draft

Past Drafts Mock Draft Big Board Central Scouting Lottery Odds Accountability

Board accuracy — 2019

Rank against career NHL games, a matured class

Pool	Ranked	Matched	Never played	Games ρ	Reading
North American Skater Strong agreement	247	120	53	+0.61	Strong agreement
International Skater Moderate agreement	142	52	29	+0.34	Moderate agreement
North American Goalie Strong agreement	36	12	7	+0.55	Strong agreement
International Goalie Strong agreement	12	4	2	+0.95	Strong agreement

Spearman correlation — positive means the board got it right. 188 of 437 ranked players matched a pick (undrafted players and ambiguous name matches are left out); those who never played count as zero games.

Clubs against their own slots

1963–2019, 57 classes with at least 7 seasons played out

Current NHL clubs against their own draft slots
#	Club	Picks	Games	Expected	+/−
1	BUF	471	87,695	73,070	+14,625
2	SJS	232	42,148	31,992	+10,156
3	NJD	363	61,232	51,734	+9,498
4	OTT	225	41,535	33,027	+8,508
5	NYI	481	77,990	72,774	+5,216
6	NSH	186	30,357	25,271	+5,086
7	ANA	200	34,834	31,755	+3,079
8	MIN	145	23,604	20,559	+3,045
9	STL	480	66,345	63,437	+2,908
10	LAK	455	67,135	64,450	+2,685
11	DAL	213	31,485	28,877	+2,608
12	CBJ	162	25,700	24,591	+1,109
13	WPG	63	10,108	9,840	+268
14	NYR	528	80,888	80,840	+48
15	CGY	377	49,589	50,152	−563
16	COL	210	28,734	29,815	−1,081
17	MTL	598	98,468	99,635	−1,167
18	BOS	457	75,808	76,997	−1,189
19	EDM	389	55,562	56,794	−1,232
20	VGK	28	2,941	4,229	−1,288
21	TOR	491	75,242	76,552	−1,310
22	PIT	448	65,407	66,850	−1,443
23	CAR	174	24,166	26,018	−1,852
24	DET	504	73,449	75,308	−1,859
25	WSH	441	61,348	64,098	−2,750
26	FLA	230	33,539	36,349	−2,810
27	TBL	247	29,879	33,203	−3,324
28	PHI	493	65,382	70,281	−4,899
29	VAN	436	61,045	67,625	−6,580
30	CHI	518	69,016	81,617	−12,601

Career NHL games a club's picks played, against what the same slots returned league-wide. Clubs are as they were on draft day; those with fewer than 20 counted picks are left out.

What a pick is worth

1963–2019, 57 classes with at least 7 seasons played out

Overall pick	Career games, average	Players
#1	743	285
#33	229	459
#65	150